New posts counter recalculated when filtering on new posts

When going to the Discourse main page, I see (in this example) there are 29 new posts. But when I click on New (29) to filter those posts, the number is changed to 24. This happens a lot of times, sometimes the number even goes from 27 to 10. Always down, never up.

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Likely a dupe of

https://meta.discourse.org/t/new-indicator-is-showing-wrong-numbers-again/25860

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